EUR/USD trading talks June 22
EUR/USD once again reached 1.10350, which is a key resistance and may be a key level for the formation of a Head and Shoulders pattern. In case of considering the weekly chart as a basis for medium-term analysis, the price reaches the EMA of 200 and does not dare to break through, preparing for a next fall. Support in this case will be the level of 1.09000 and EMA 100 on the weekly chart, which is now at the level of 1.08400.
It is very clear and interesting that the MACD on the weekly chart shows the possibility of falling, as the signal line is crossed and attempts to return above were stopped by the EMA 200 level. This fact makes 1.10700 a very important key level, which will be the primary and basic signal for further growth, in case of breaking higher.
On the four-hour chart, MACD confirms the possibility of further decline, as it forms a divergence, as well as a possible beginning of the line crossing, which is the primary sell signal.
I will consider the probability of falling as high, especially if 1.0900 is broken and the move continues. However, in order to limit possible risks, I advise you to look at the possibility of a temporary horizontal correction with a subsequent break above 1.10700 and 1.11000
